Theo·Election Forecast '26

Florida's redistricting

The old lines give Republicans 18 of 28
Pre-redistricting · national GB
54.0
46.0
how to read · each district is filled by the party it leans to at these inputs; the number above is the seat split those fills add up to.
Source: the enacted district lines and this site's district baselines.
The new lines give Republicans 20 of 28
Post-redistricting · national GB
54.0
46.0
how to read · each district is filled by the party it leans to at these inputs; the number above is the seat split those fills add up to.
Source: the enacted district lines and this site's district baselines.
The old lines give Republicans 20 of 28
Pre-redistricting · custom inputs
48.3
49.8
national generic ballot
D 48.3
R 49.8
national Hispanic vote
Hisp D 52
Hisp R 46
how to read · each district is filled by the party it leans to at these inputs; the number above is the seat split those fills add up to.
Source: the enacted district lines and this site's district baselines.
The new lines give Republicans 24 of 28
Post-redistricting · custom inputs
48.3
49.8
national generic ballot
D 48.3
R 49.8
national Hispanic vote
Hisp D 52
Hisp R 46
how to read · each district is filled by the party it leans to at these inputs; the number above is the seat split those fills add up to.
Source: the enacted district lines and this site's district baselines.
Updated  Jul 28, 2026·Simulations  10,000·Polls  124·Days to election  97