Standalone analyses, dashboards, and election-night coverage.
Cumulative inflation-adjusted fundraising for four recent Texas Democratic statewide challengers, charted by months to general election. Talarico's seven-month haul versus Beto '18, Beto '22 governor, and Allred '24.
State-by-state primary-to-general vote ratios for Democrats and Republicans, 2000–2026. Tests whether the primary enthusiasm gap predicts the national environment in November.
A district-level measure of how closely individual Senate, House, and gubernatorial races are tracking the national environment. Filter by chamber, sort by deviation, and see who's running ahead or behind their baseline.