forecasts · by race · U.S. house
congressional district 12, 2026
safe R · republican 98% to win · R+13.2
| party | vote, of the two | votes | chance | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| democrat | 43.4% | 127,971 | 2% | |
| republican | 56.6% | 166,933 | 98% |
the 2026 forecast for Texas’s 12th Congressional District, on the lines in force for 2026. the forecast is of the generic ballot, a democrat against a republican, on the district’s own precincts; it is not a poll of the candidates. open the forecast map.
the statewide races in CD 12
| race | forecast | lead | votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. senator | paxton 51.9% | R+6.5 | 297,769 | |
| governor | abbott 56.0% | R+13.9 | 297,769 | |
| railroad commissioner | french 56.7% | R+13.4 | 290,467 | |
| lieutenant governor | patrick 56.7% | R+13.4 | 290,466 | |
| attorney general | middleton 57.2% | R+14.4 | 290,467 | |
| comptroller | huffines 58.7% | R+17.4 | 290,467 | |
| land commissioner | buckingham 58.6% | R+17.3 | 290,467 | |
| agriculture commissioner | sheets 58.7% | R+17.4 | 290,468 |
- the map: each precinct, county or district by its forecast margin, the leader deeper by points (0 to 4, 4 to 8, 8 to 16, 16 to 32, 32 and up). ruled: no race there in 2026.
- votes are projected in fractions of a vote and rounded where they are printed.
- a projection of Texas alone, built october 12, 2026. how it is made is on the methodology sheet.
- data · theoelections projection, 2026