forecasts · by race
comptroller, 2026
R+7.3 · likely R · huffines 87% to win
candidate party vote votes chance
eckhardt democrat 46.4% 4,826,511 13% huffines republican 53.6% 5,585,435 87%
the 2026 forecast of the race for comptroller in Texas, Eckhardt against Huffines, counted on the two alone. open it on the forecast map , precinct by precinct.
by group of voters
group forecast lead votes
white voters huffines 65.0% R+29.9 6,487,583 hispanic voters eckhardt 56.4% D+12.8 2,044,570 black voters eckhardt 85.9% D+71.8 1,196,109 other voters eckhardt 54.6% D+9.2 683,683
by county
county forecast lead votes
anderson huffines 79.4% R+58.8 17,978 andrews huffines 84.8% R+69.7 5,572 angelina huffines 74.8% R+49.5 31,770 aransas huffines 75.1% R+50.3 12,126 archer huffines 88.5% R+77.0 4,850 armstrong huffines 90.9% R+81.7 1,056 atascosa huffines 67.3% R+34.5 16,828 austin huffines 80.0% R+60.0 14,317 bailey huffines 80.3% R+60.7 1,601 bandera huffines 78.8% R+57.5 12,668 bastrop huffines 56.5% R+13.0 36,505 baylor huffines 87.5% R+75.1 1,564 bee huffines 66.1% R+32.2 8,034 bell huffines 55.5% R+10.9 118,746 bexar eckhardt 59.1% D+18.2 684,997 blanco huffines 74.5% R+49.0 7,990 borden huffines 96.5% R+93.0 365 bosque huffines 81.2% R+62.4 8,987 bowie huffines 73.9% R+47.8 33,882 brazoria huffines 57.0% R+14.0 147,866 brazos huffines 60.2% R+20.4 84,694 brewster huffines 54.0% R+7.9 4,223 briscoe huffines 89.0% R+78.0 700 brooks eckhardt 61.8% D+23.5 2,117 brown huffines 85.4% R+70.9 15,789 burleson huffines 80.5% R+60.9 8,722 burnet huffines 76.1% R+52.2 26,355 caldwell huffines 54.1% R+8.1 14,356 calhoun huffines 73.0% R+46.0 7,255 callahan huffines 86.9% R+73.8 6,564 cameron eckhardt 52.9% D+5.8 105,297 camp huffines 76.0% R+52.0 4,902 carson huffines 88.9% R+77.9 2,960 cass huffines 82.8% R+65.6 13,306 castro huffines 78.7% R+57.4 1,849 chambers huffines 81.2% R+62.3 23,236 cherokee huffines 80.7% R+61.4 19,075 childress huffines 87.0% R+73.9 2,101 clay huffines 88.1% R+76.2 5,563 cochran huffines 82.6% R+65.2 815 coke huffines 87.4% R+74.8 1,715 coleman huffines 88.2% R+76.4 3,892 collin huffines 50.9% R+1.7 469,921 collingsworth huffines 88.1% R+76.1 1,126 colorado huffines 77.4% R+54.9 9,316 comal huffines 70.5% R+41.1 96,523 comanche huffines 84.6% R+69.1 6,144 concho huffines 84.6% R+69.2 1,116 cooke huffines 81.3% R+62.7 19,101 coryell huffines 67.9% R+35.7 21,736 cottle huffines 85.4% R+70.8 606 crane huffines 84.8% R+69.6 1,244 crockett huffines 75.2% R+50.5 1,273 crosby huffines 75.3% R+50.6 1,721 culberson huffines 52.7% R+5.4 693 dallam huffines 88.3% R+76.6 1,323 dallas eckhardt 65.6% D+31.2 769,768 dawson huffines 79.5% R+58.9 3,206 deaf smith huffines 74.9% R+49.8 3,935 delta huffines 82.5% R+65.0 2,498 denton huffines 52.9% R+5.8 414,380 dewitt huffines 81.7% R+63.4 7,289 dickens huffines 84.3% R+68.7 925 dimmit eckhardt 59.2% D+18.3 2,946 donley huffines 88.2% R+76.4 1,577 duval eckhardt 54.3% D+8.6 3,809 eastland huffines 87.3% R+74.5 7,826 ector huffines 73.9% R+47.9 39,230 edwards huffines 83.7% R+67.5 912 el paso eckhardt 61.2% D+22.4 220,645 ellis huffines 63.2% R+26.3 91,824 erath huffines 82.0% R+64.0 17,094 falls huffines 71.1% R+42.2 5,835 fannin huffines 81.4% R+62.7 15,340 fayette huffines 79.5% R+59.0 12,522 fisher huffines 79.5% R+58.9 1,701 floyd huffines 79.6% R+59.2 1,928 foard huffines 81.7% R+63.5 510 fort bend eckhardt 55.9% D+11.9 320,347 franklin huffines 83.3% R+66.5 4,996 freestone huffines 82.2% R+64.3 8,408 frio huffines 55.6% R+11.1 4,347 gaines huffines 91.0% R+82.0 5,988 galveston huffines 61.0% R+22.1 146,499 garza huffines 85.5% R+71.0 1,468 gillespie huffines 79.1% R+58.2 15,552 glasscock huffines 94.3% R+88.6 628 goliad huffines 77.9% R+55.8 3,699 gonzales huffines 75.2% R+50.4 7,108 gray huffines 87.9% R+75.9 7,051 grayson huffines 75.3% R+50.5 61,234 gregg huffines 70.0% R+40.0 43,249 grimes huffines 78.8% R+57.6 13,083 guadalupe huffines 61.7% R+23.4 77,819 hale huffines 77.3% R+54.6 8,516 hall huffines 85.7% R+71.4 1,062 hamilton huffines 84.1% R+68.2 4,214 hansford huffines 92.2% R+84.5 1,866 hardeman huffines 83.8% R+67.6 1,317 hardin huffines 86.8% R+73.7 26,466 harris eckhardt 56.8% D+13.6 1,411,002 harrison huffines 75.4% R+50.8 28,117 hartley huffines 91.1% R+82.3 1,902 haskell huffines 83.6% R+67.2 2,089 hays eckhardt 56.2% D+12.4 116,253 hemphill huffines 87.2% R+74.4 1,512 henderson huffines 79.8% R+59.5 35,911 hidalgo eckhardt 54.2% D+8.4 194,037 hill huffines 80.0% R+60.0 15,642 hockley huffines 82.5% R+64.9 7,439 hood huffines 81.0% R+62.0 34,278 hopkins huffines 80.7% R+61.4 15,719 houston huffines 77.3% R+54.6 8,681 howard huffines 79.4% R+58.7 8,853 hudspeth huffines 70.6% R+41.2 924 hunt huffines 75.3% R+50.6 43,420 hutchinson huffines 87.8% R+75.6 7,658 irion huffines 85.6% R+71.1 814 jack huffines 89.4% R+78.8 3,953 jackson huffines 84.0% R+68.0 5,917 jasper huffines 83.0% R+65.9 14,844 jeff davis huffines 58.9% R+17.8 1,070 jefferson huffines 52.7% R+5.5 78,419 jim hogg eckhardt 61.4% D+22.7 1,415 jim wells huffines 53.1% R+6.3 11,977 johnson huffines 73.0% R+45.9 74,790 jones huffines 84.7% R+69.4 6,448 karnes huffines 76.1% R+52.2 4,674 kaufman huffines 61.2% R+22.3 63,789 kendall huffines 76.2% R+52.5 27,556 kenedy huffines 65.4% R+30.9 133 kent huffines 86.5% R+73.1 423 kerr huffines 75.2% R+50.4 26,389 kimble huffines 86.9% R+73.8 2,243 king huffines 96.2% R+92.4 129 kinney huffines 70.7% R+41.5 1,295 kleberg huffines 51.8% R+3.6 9,137 knox huffines 81.3% R+62.5 1,285 la salle huffines 53.0% R+5.9 1,927 lamar huffines 78.9% R+57.8 19,869 lamb huffines 81.7% R+63.3 3,829 lampasas huffines 78.4% R+56.8 10,445 lavaca huffines 86.5% R+72.9 9,870 lee huffines 79.3% R+58.5 7,860 leon huffines 87.4% R+74.9 8,480 liberty huffines 79.0% R+58.0 28,997 limestone huffines 77.3% R+54.5 8,458 lipscomb huffines 88.8% R+77.5 1,170 live oak huffines 83.0% R+66.1 4,758 llano huffines 79.4% R+58.8 12,860 loving huffines 80.4% R+60.7 87 lubbock huffines 68.5% R+36.9 115,472 lynn huffines 85.1% R+70.1 2,369 madison huffines 81.4% R+62.9 5,079 marion huffines 76.8% R+53.7 4,386 martin huffines 86.7% R+73.4 1,927 mason huffines 81.7% R+63.4 2,373 matagorda huffines 73.0% R+46.0 12,331 maverick huffines 50.8% R+1.5 13,284 mcculloch huffines 85.3% R+70.5 3,293 mclennan huffines 63.2% R+26.3 93,114 mcmullen huffines 89.8% R+79.6 451 medina huffines 68.7% R+37.4 22,779 menard huffines 80.5% R+61.1 975 midland huffines 78.9% R+57.8 54,129 milam huffines 77.1% R+54.2 10,342 mills huffines 86.8% R+73.6 2,582 mitchell huffines 84.4% R+68.8 2,317 montague huffines 87.1% R+74.1 10,421 montgomery huffines 70.6% R+41.1 286,682 moore huffines 81.0% R+62.0 4,894 morris huffines 75.1% R+50.1 5,049 motley huffines 93.3% R+86.6 609 nacogdoches huffines 68.3% R+36.7 23,822 navarro huffines 73.4% R+46.8 18,518 newton huffines 83.3% R+66.5 5,359 nolan huffines 76.8% R+53.6 4,712 nueces huffines 52.2% R+4.4 111,192 ochiltree huffines 90.2% R+80.4 2,819 oldham huffines 90.3% R+80.6 917 orange huffines 82.1% R+64.1 33,843 palo pinto huffines 81.4% R+62.9 12,448 panola huffines 82.8% R+65.5 10,696 parker huffines 81.1% R+62.3 85,262 parmer huffines 84.4% R+68.7 2,324 pecos huffines 69.5% R+39.0 3,798 polk huffines 78.1% R+56.1 22,635 potter huffines 70.7% R+41.4 29,537 presidio eckhardt 66.5% D+33.0 1,798 rains huffines 84.8% R+69.5 6,141 randall huffines 78.7% R+57.4 62,723 reagan huffines 83.0% R+65.9 875 real huffines 82.1% R+64.2 1,834 red river huffines 79.9% R+59.8 5,393 reeves huffines 63.8% R+27.6 2,999 refugio huffines 67.5% R+35.1 2,816 roberts huffines 96.2% R+92.5 541 robertson huffines 75.1% R+50.2 7,604 rockwall huffines 67.8% R+35.5 58,252 runnels huffines 86.6% R+73.2 3,793 rusk huffines 78.9% R+57.8 20,088 sabine huffines 88.8% R+77.5 5,243 san augustine huffines 78.4% R+56.9 3,472 san jacinto huffines 81.3% R+62.7 11,901 san patricio huffines 64.9% R+29.8 23,485 san saba huffines 87.2% R+74.3 2,535 schleicher huffines 80.5% R+61.1 1,027 scurry huffines 85.0% R+70.1 5,245 shackelford huffines 89.4% R+78.7 1,628 shelby huffines 82.4% R+64.8 9,312 sherman huffines 90.5% R+80.9 839 smith huffines 71.5% R+43.0 96,267 somervell huffines 82.8% R+65.6 4,950 starr huffines 50.8% R+1.6 13,002 stephens huffines 87.5% R+75.0 3,516 sterling huffines 90.7% R+81.5 582 stonewall huffines 82.7% R+65.5 672 sutton huffines 82.2% R+64.4 1,303 swisher huffines 79.7% R+59.5 2,082 tarrant eckhardt 51.0% D+2.0 755,847 taylor huffines 72.8% R+45.5 51,541 terrell huffines 76.4% R+52.8 366 terry huffines 81.1% R+62.2 3,111 throckmorton huffines 90.6% R+81.1 847 titus huffines 76.2% R+52.5 9,471 tom green huffines 71.6% R+43.1 42,004 travis eckhardt 73.7% D+47.4 533,269 trinity huffines 82.0% R+64.0 6,878 tyler huffines 85.7% R+71.4 8,985 upshur huffines 84.5% R+69.0 18,616 upton huffines 86.5% R+73.0 1,176 uvalde huffines 62.1% R+24.3 8,865 val verde huffines 57.8% R+15.5 13,087 van zandt huffines 85.7% R+71.4 26,356 victoria huffines 70.0% R+40.0 32,554 walker huffines 68.5% R+37.0 23,262 waller huffines 61.2% R+22.5 25,319 ward huffines 80.4% R+60.8 3,462 washington huffines 76.2% R+52.4 17,005 webb eckhardt 55.2% D+10.4 58,219 wharton huffines 74.3% R+48.7 15,278 wheeler huffines 91.1% R+82.1 2,127 wichita huffines 70.5% R+41.1 41,225 wilbarger huffines 78.3% R+56.6 4,135 willacy eckhardt 55.4% D+10.9 4,953 williamson eckhardt 52.1% D+4.1 282,085 wilson huffines 74.1% R+48.3 25,402 winkler huffines 83.7% R+67.4 1,776 wise huffines 82.6% R+65.2 35,894 wood huffines 84.0% R+67.9 22,913 yoakum huffines 84.0% R+67.9 2,171 young huffines 86.5% R+73.1 7,827 zapata huffines 52.4% R+4.8 3,909 zavala eckhardt 63.5% D+27.1 2,971
the map: each precinct, county or district by its forecast margin, the leader deeper by points (0 to 4, 4 to 8, 8 to 16, 16 to 32, 32 and up). ruled: no race there in 2026.
votes are projected in fractions of a vote and rounded where they are printed.
a projection of Texas alone, built october 12, 2026. how it is made is on the methodology sheet.
data · theoelections projection, 2026
