forecasts · by race · U.S. house
congressional district 18, 2026
safe D · democrat >99% to win · D+62.6
| party | vote, of the two | votes | chance | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| democrat | 81.3% | 179,409 | >99% | |
| republican | 18.7% | 41,261 | <1% |
the 2026 forecast for Texas’s 18th Congressional District, on the lines in force for 2026. the forecast is of the generic ballot, a democrat against a republican, on the district’s own precincts; it is not a poll of the candidates. open the forecast map.
the statewide races in CD 18
| race | forecast | lead | votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. senator | talarico 81.2% | D+65.1 | 221,831 | |
| governor | hinojosa 79.7% | D+61.3 | 221,831 | |
| railroad commissioner | rosenthal 82.4% | D+64.8 | 216,561 | |
| lieutenant governor | goodwin 81.9% | D+63.9 | 216,561 | |
| attorney general | johnson 81.6% | D+63.3 | 216,562 | |
| comptroller | eckhardt 81.2% | D+62.3 | 216,559 | |
| land commissioner | flores 81.8% | D+63.5 | 216,560 | |
| agriculture commissioner | tucker 81.5% | D+63.0 | 216,561 |
- the map: each precinct, county or district by its forecast margin, the leader deeper by points (0 to 4, 4 to 8, 8 to 16, 16 to 32, 32 and up). ruled: no race there in 2026.
- votes are projected in fractions of a vote and rounded where they are printed.
- a projection of Texas alone, built october 12, 2026. how it is made is on the methodology sheet.
- data · theoelections projection, 2026