forecasts · by race · state house
state house district 106, 2026
safe R · republican 95% to win · R+10.5
| party | vote, of the two | votes | chance | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| democrat | 44.7% | 42,756 | 5% | |
| republican | 55.3% | 52,822 | 95% |
the 2026 forecast for Texas House District 106, on the lines in force for 2026. the forecast is of the generic ballot, a democrat against a republican, on the district’s own precincts; it is not a poll of the candidates. open the forecast map.
the statewide races in HD 106
| race | forecast | lead | votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. senator | talarico 49.7% | D+1.6 | 99,665 | |
| governor | abbott 52.5% | R+6.6 | 99,665 | |
| railroad commissioner | french 52.5% | R+5.0 | 97,676 | |
| lieutenant governor | patrick 52.3% | R+4.7 | 97,676 | |
| attorney general | middleton 53.2% | R+6.3 | 97,676 | |
| comptroller | huffines 54.6% | R+9.2 | 97,677 | |
| land commissioner | buckingham 54.8% | R+9.7 | 97,676 | |
| agriculture commissioner | sheets 54.9% | R+9.8 | 97,676 |
- the map: each precinct, county or district by its forecast margin, the leader deeper by points (0 to 4, 4 to 8, 8 to 16, 16 to 32, 32 and up). ruled: no race there in 2026.
- votes are projected in fractions of a vote and rounded where they are printed.
- a projection of Texas alone, built october 12, 2026. how it is made is on the methodology sheet.
- data · theoelections projection, 2026