forecasts · by race · state house
state house district 118, 2026
safe D · democrat 99% to win · D+14.0
| party | vote, of the two | votes | chance | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| democrat | 57.0% | 40,878 | 99% | |
| republican | 43.0% | 30,863 | 1% |
the 2026 forecast for Texas House District 118, on the lines in force for 2026. the forecast is of the generic ballot, a democrat against a republican, on the district’s own precincts; it is not a poll of the candidates. open the forecast map.
the statewide races in HD 118
| race | forecast | lead | votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. senator | talarico 56.9% | D+16.8 | 74,156 | |
| governor | hinojosa 53.3% | D+8.7 | 74,155 | |
| railroad commissioner | rosenthal 54.9% | D+9.9 | 72,219 | |
| lieutenant governor | goodwin 54.0% | D+8.0 | 72,219 | |
| attorney general | johnson 53.7% | D+7.5 | 72,219 | |
| comptroller | eckhardt 52.3% | D+4.7 | 72,218 | |
| land commissioner | flores 53.6% | D+7.1 | 72,219 | |
| agriculture commissioner | tucker 53.3% | D+6.5 | 72,219 |
- the map: each precinct, county or district by its forecast margin, the leader deeper by points (0 to 4, 4 to 8, 8 to 16, 16 to 32, 32 and up). ruled: no race there in 2026.
- votes are projected in fractions of a vote and rounded where they are printed.
- a projection of Texas alone, built october 12, 2026. how it is made is on the methodology sheet.
- data · theoelections projection, 2026