forecasts · by race · state house
state house district 12, 2026
safe R · republican >99% to win · R+48.8
| party | vote, of the two | votes | chance | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| democrat | 25.6% | 20,351 | <1% | |
| republican | 74.4% | 59,082 | >99% |
the 2026 forecast for Texas House District 12, on the lines in force for 2026. the forecast is of the generic ballot, a democrat against a republican, on the district’s own precincts; it is not a poll of the candidates. open the forecast map.
the statewide races in HD 12
| race | forecast | lead | votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. senator | paxton 68.1% | R+38.5 | 83,340 | |
| governor | abbott 71.6% | R+44.7 | 83,340 | |
| railroad commissioner | french 71.7% | R+43.4 | 81,707 | |
| lieutenant governor | patrick 71.8% | R+43.6 | 81,708 | |
| attorney general | middleton 72.1% | R+44.1 | 81,707 | |
| comptroller | huffines 73.5% | R+47.0 | 81,708 | |
| land commissioner | buckingham 73.2% | R+46.5 | 81,708 | |
| agriculture commissioner | sheets 73.5% | R+46.9 | 81,707 |
- the map: each precinct, county or district by its forecast margin, the leader deeper by points (0 to 4, 4 to 8, 8 to 16, 16 to 32, 32 and up). ruled: no race there in 2026.
- votes are projected in fractions of a vote and rounded where they are printed.
- a projection of Texas alone, built october 12, 2026. how it is made is on the methodology sheet.
- data · theoelections projection, 2026