forecasts · by race · state house
state house district 133, 2026
safe R · republican 95% to win · R+10.6
| party | vote, of the two | votes | chance | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| democrat | 44.7% | 32,234 | 5% | |
| republican | 55.3% | 39,840 | 95% |
the 2026 forecast for Texas House District 133, on the lines in force for 2026. the forecast is of the generic ballot, a democrat against a republican, on the district’s own precincts; it is not a poll of the candidates. open the forecast map.
the statewide races in HD 133
| race | forecast | lead | votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. senator | talarico 53.8% | D+10.1 | 73,828 | |
| governor | hinojosa 50.1% | D+2.1 | 73,828 | |
| railroad commissioner | rosenthal 51.8% | D+3.6 | 72,166 | |
| lieutenant governor | goodwin 51.9% | D+3.9 | 72,166 | |
| attorney general | johnson 51.1% | D+2.2 | 72,166 | |
| comptroller | huffines 50.2% | R+0.5 | 72,166 | |
| land commissioner | buckingham 50.5% | R+1.0 | 72,166 | |
| agriculture commissioner | sheets 50.6% | R+1.1 | 72,166 |
- the map: each precinct, county or district by its forecast margin, the leader deeper by points (0 to 4, 4 to 8, 8 to 16, 16 to 32, 32 and up). ruled: no race there in 2026.
- votes are projected in fractions of a vote and rounded where they are printed.
- a projection of Texas alone, built october 12, 2026. how it is made is on the methodology sheet.
- data · theoelections projection, 2026