forecasts · by race · state house
state house district 146, 2026
safe D · democrat >99% to win · D+61.6
| party | vote, of the two | votes | chance | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| democrat | 80.8% | 41,085 | >99% | |
| republican | 19.2% | 9,757 | <1% |
the 2026 forecast for Texas House District 146, on the lines in force for 2026. the forecast is of the generic ballot, a democrat against a republican, on the district’s own precincts; it is not a poll of the candidates. open the forecast map.
the statewide races in HD 146
| race | forecast | lead | votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. senator | talarico 80.1% | D+62.8 | 52,753 | |
| governor | hinojosa 78.5% | D+58.8 | 52,753 | |
| railroad commissioner | rosenthal 81.2% | D+62.3 | 51,556 | |
| lieutenant governor | goodwin 80.8% | D+61.7 | 51,556 | |
| attorney general | johnson 80.5% | D+61.0 | 51,556 | |
| comptroller | eckhardt 79.9% | D+59.7 | 51,555 | |
| land commissioner | flores 80.3% | D+60.6 | 51,556 | |
| agriculture commissioner | tucker 80.1% | D+60.1 | 51,555 |
- the map: each precinct, county or district by its forecast margin, the leader deeper by points (0 to 4, 4 to 8, 8 to 16, 16 to 32, 32 and up). ruled: no race there in 2026.
- votes are projected in fractions of a vote and rounded where they are printed.
- a projection of Texas alone, built october 12, 2026. how it is made is on the methodology sheet.
- data · theoelections projection, 2026