forecasts · by race · state house
state house district 149, 2026
safe D · democrat >99% to win · D+28.1
| party | vote, of the two | votes | chance | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| democrat | 64.0% | 27,680 | >99% | |
| republican | 36.0% | 15,550 | <1% |
the 2026 forecast for Texas House District 149, on the lines in force for 2026. the forecast is of the generic ballot, a democrat against a republican, on the district’s own precincts; it is not a poll of the candidates. open the forecast map.
the statewide races in HD 149
| race | forecast | lead | votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. senator | talarico 63.3% | D+30.1 | 44,414 | |
| governor | hinojosa 60.2% | D+22.9 | 44,414 | |
| railroad commissioner | rosenthal 63.7% | D+27.4 | 43,036 | |
| lieutenant governor | goodwin 63.0% | D+26.0 | 43,037 | |
| attorney general | johnson 62.2% | D+24.3 | 43,036 | |
| comptroller | eckhardt 61.9% | D+23.8 | 43,036 | |
| land commissioner | flores 62.6% | D+25.2 | 43,036 | |
| agriculture commissioner | tucker 62.2% | D+24.5 | 43,036 |
- the map: each precinct, county or district by its forecast margin, the leader deeper by points (0 to 4, 4 to 8, 8 to 16, 16 to 32, 32 and up). ruled: no race there in 2026.
- votes are projected in fractions of a vote and rounded where they are printed.
- a projection of Texas alone, built october 12, 2026. how it is made is on the methodology sheet.
- data · theoelections projection, 2026