forecasts · by race · state house
state house district 20, 2026
likely R · republican 89% to win · R+7.7
| party | vote, of the two | votes | chance | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| democrat | 46.2% | 47,255 | 11% | |
| republican | 53.8% | 55,107 | 89% |
the 2026 forecast for Texas House District 20, on the lines in force for 2026. the forecast is of the generic ballot, a democrat against a republican, on the district’s own precincts; it is not a poll of the candidates. open the forecast map.
the statewide races in HD 20
| race | forecast | lead | votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. senator | talarico 50.0% | D+3.1 | 107,284 | |
| governor | abbott 51.4% | R+5.0 | 107,285 | |
| railroad commissioner | french 52.6% | R+5.2 | 104,436 | |
| lieutenant governor | patrick 52.3% | R+4.6 | 104,436 | |
| attorney general | middleton 53.0% | R+6.0 | 104,435 | |
| comptroller | huffines 54.8% | R+9.5 | 104,436 | |
| land commissioner | buckingham 55.1% | R+10.2 | 104,436 | |
| agriculture commissioner | sheets 55.0% | R+10.1 | 104,436 |
- the map: each precinct, county or district by its forecast margin, the leader deeper by points (0 to 4, 4 to 8, 8 to 16, 16 to 32, 32 and up). ruled: no race there in 2026.
- votes are projected in fractions of a vote and rounded where they are printed.
- a projection of Texas alone, built october 12, 2026. how it is made is on the methodology sheet.
- data · theoelections projection, 2026