forecasts · by race · state house
state house district 23, 2026
safe R · republican >99% to win · R+25.6
| party | vote, of the two | votes | chance | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| democrat | 37.2% | 28,449 | <1% | |
| republican | 62.8% | 47,981 | >99% |
the 2026 forecast for Texas House District 23, on the lines in force for 2026. the forecast is of the generic ballot, a democrat against a republican, on the district’s own precincts; it is not a poll of the candidates. open the forecast map.
the statewide races in HD 23
| race | forecast | lead | votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. senator | paxton 56.0% | R+14.9 | 78,551 | |
| governor | abbott 59.7% | R+21.4 | 78,550 | |
| railroad commissioner | french 60.4% | R+20.9 | 76,617 | |
| lieutenant governor | patrick 60.6% | R+21.1 | 76,617 | |
| attorney general | middleton 60.9% | R+21.9 | 76,617 | |
| comptroller | huffines 62.3% | R+24.5 | 76,617 | |
| land commissioner | buckingham 62.0% | R+24.1 | 76,617 | |
| agriculture commissioner | sheets 62.1% | R+24.3 | 76,618 |
- the map: each precinct, county or district by its forecast margin, the leader deeper by points (0 to 4, 4 to 8, 8 to 16, 16 to 32, 32 and up). ruled: no race there in 2026.
- votes are projected in fractions of a vote and rounded where they are printed.
- a projection of Texas alone, built october 12, 2026. how it is made is on the methodology sheet.
- data · theoelections projection, 2026