forecasts · by race · state house
state house district 30, 2026
safe R · republican >99% to win · R+45.1
| party | vote, of the two | votes | chance | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| democrat | 27.5% | 19,461 | <1% | |
| republican | 72.5% | 51,400 | >99% |
the 2026 forecast for Texas House District 30, on the lines in force for 2026. the forecast is of the generic ballot, a democrat against a republican, on the district’s own precincts; it is not a poll of the candidates. open the forecast map.
the statewide races in HD 30
| race | forecast | lead | votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. senator | paxton 70.0% | R+41.9 | 72,873 | |
| governor | abbott 73.3% | R+47.9 | 72,873 | |
| railroad commissioner | french 73.8% | R+47.7 | 71,660 | |
| lieutenant governor | patrick 74.2% | R+48.4 | 71,660 | |
| attorney general | middleton 74.4% | R+48.8 | 71,659 | |
| comptroller | huffines 75.5% | R+51.1 | 71,660 | |
| land commissioner | buckingham 75.0% | R+49.9 | 71,660 | |
| agriculture commissioner | sheets 75.1% | R+50.3 | 71,659 |
- the map: each precinct, county or district by its forecast margin, the leader deeper by points (0 to 4, 4 to 8, 8 to 16, 16 to 32, 32 and up). ruled: no race there in 2026.
- votes are projected in fractions of a vote and rounded where they are printed.
- a projection of Texas alone, built october 12, 2026. how it is made is on the methodology sheet.
- data · theoelections projection, 2026