forecasts · by race · state house
state house district 41, 2026
safe D · democrat >99% to win · D+30.3
| party | vote, of the two | votes | chance | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| democrat | 65.1% | 35,012 | >99% | |
| republican | 34.9% | 18,744 | <1% |
the 2026 forecast for Texas House District 41, on the lines in force for 2026. the forecast is of the generic ballot, a democrat against a republican, on the district’s own precincts; it is not a poll of the candidates. open the forecast map.
the statewide races in HD 41
| race | forecast | lead | votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. senator | talarico 59.3% | D+21.1 | 55,177 | |
| governor | hinojosa 55.2% | D+12.2 | 55,177 | |
| railroad commissioner | rosenthal 56.9% | D+13.9 | 54,004 | |
| lieutenant governor | goodwin 55.1% | D+10.2 | 54,004 | |
| attorney general | johnson 55.0% | D+10.0 | 54,004 | |
| comptroller | eckhardt 53.9% | D+7.8 | 54,003 | |
| land commissioner | flores 56.4% | D+12.7 | 54,004 | |
| agriculture commissioner | tucker 55.8% | D+11.6 | 54,004 |
- the map: each precinct, county or district by its forecast margin, the leader deeper by points (0 to 4, 4 to 8, 8 to 16, 16 to 32, 32 and up). ruled: no race there in 2026.
- votes are projected in fractions of a vote and rounded where they are printed.
- a projection of Texas alone, built october 12, 2026. how it is made is on the methodology sheet.
- data · theoelections projection, 2026