forecasts · by race · state house
state house district 57, 2026
safe R · republican 95% to win · R+10.4
| party | vote, of the two | votes | chance | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| democrat | 44.8% | 36,532 | 5% | |
| republican | 55.2% | 45,051 | 95% |
the 2026 forecast for Texas House District 57, on the lines in force for 2026. the forecast is of the generic ballot, a democrat against a republican, on the district’s own precincts; it is not a poll of the candidates. open the forecast map.
the statewide races in HD 57
| race | forecast | lead | votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. senator | talarico 48.8% | D+0.2 | 87,352 | |
| governor | abbott 53.0% | R+7.8 | 87,352 | |
| railroad commissioner | french 53.2% | R+6.3 | 85,375 | |
| lieutenant governor | patrick 53.1% | R+6.1 | 85,375 | |
| attorney general | middleton 53.7% | R+7.4 | 85,376 | |
| comptroller | huffines 55.3% | R+10.7 | 85,376 | |
| land commissioner | buckingham 55.4% | R+10.8 | 85,376 | |
| agriculture commissioner | sheets 55.5% | R+11.0 | 85,376 |
- the map: each precinct, county or district by its forecast margin, the leader deeper by points (0 to 4, 4 to 8, 8 to 16, 16 to 32, 32 and up). ruled: no race there in 2026.
- votes are projected in fractions of a vote and rounded where they are printed.
- a projection of Texas alone, built october 12, 2026. how it is made is on the methodology sheet.
- data · theoelections projection, 2026