forecasts · by race · state house
state house district 61, 2026
likely R · republican 88% to win · R+7.5
| party | vote, of the two | votes | chance | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| democrat | 46.2% | 42,518 | 12% | |
| republican | 53.8% | 49,454 | 88% |
the 2026 forecast for Texas House District 61, on the lines in force for 2026. the forecast is of the generic ballot, a democrat against a republican, on the district’s own precincts; it is not a poll of the candidates. open the forecast map.
the statewide races in HD 61
| race | forecast | lead | votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. senator | talarico 51.5% | D+5.3 | 97,062 | |
| governor | abbott 50.8% | R+3.2 | 97,062 | |
| railroad commissioner | french 50.4% | R+0.9 | 95,097 | |
| lieutenant governor | patrick 50.3% | R+0.6 | 95,097 | |
| attorney general | middleton 51.3% | R+2.6 | 95,097 | |
| comptroller | huffines 52.5% | R+5.0 | 95,097 | |
| land commissioner | buckingham 52.8% | R+5.5 | 95,097 | |
| agriculture commissioner | sheets 52.8% | R+5.7 | 95,098 |
- the map: each precinct, county or district by its forecast margin, the leader deeper by points (0 to 4, 4 to 8, 8 to 16, 16 to 32, 32 and up). ruled: no race there in 2026.
- votes are projected in fractions of a vote and rounded where they are printed.
- a projection of Texas alone, built october 12, 2026. how it is made is on the methodology sheet.
- data · theoelections projection, 2026