forecasts · by race · state house
state house district 74, 2026
safe D · democrat >99% to win · D+22.9
| party | vote, of the two | votes | chance | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| democrat | 61.5% | 31,618 | >99% | |
| republican | 38.5% | 19,834 | <1% |
the 2026 forecast for Texas House District 74, on the lines in force for 2026. the forecast is of the generic ballot, a democrat against a republican, on the district’s own precincts; it is not a poll of the candidates. open the forecast map.
the statewide races in HD 74
| race | forecast | lead | votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. senator | talarico 52.4% | D+8.8 | 53,231 | |
| governor | hinojosa 48.8% | D+0.4 | 53,231 | |
| railroad commissioner | rosenthal 50.9% | D+1.8 | 51,376 | |
| lieutenant governor | patrick 50.7% | R+1.5 | 51,376 | |
| attorney general | middleton 50.8% | R+1.6 | 51,376 | |
| comptroller | huffines 52.0% | R+4.0 | 51,377 | |
| land commissioner | flores 50.2% | D+0.4 | 51,376 | |
| agriculture commissioner | sheets 50.3% | R+0.7 | 51,376 |
- the map: each precinct, county or district by its forecast margin, the leader deeper by points (0 to 4, 4 to 8, 8 to 16, 16 to 32, 32 and up). ruled: no race there in 2026.
- votes are projected in fractions of a vote and rounded where they are printed.
- a projection of Texas alone, built october 12, 2026. how it is made is on the methodology sheet.
- data · theoelections projection, 2026