forecasts · by race · state house
state house district 84, 2026
safe R · republican 99% to win · R+15.4
| party | vote, of the two | votes | chance | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| democrat | 42.3% | 23,257 | 1% | |
| republican | 57.7% | 31,710 | 99% |
the 2026 forecast for Texas House District 84, on the lines in force for 2026. the forecast is of the generic ballot, a democrat against a republican, on the district’s own precincts; it is not a poll of the candidates. open the forecast map.
the statewide races in HD 84
| race | forecast | lead | votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. senator | paxton 54.4% | R+12.1 | 59,376 | |
| governor | abbott 58.6% | R+19.6 | 59,375 | |
| railroad commissioner | french 59.7% | R+19.4 | 57,633 | |
| lieutenant governor | patrick 60.0% | R+20.0 | 57,633 | |
| attorney general | middleton 60.4% | R+20.9 | 57,633 | |
| comptroller | huffines 61.8% | R+23.7 | 57,633 | |
| land commissioner | buckingham 61.4% | R+22.8 | 57,633 | |
| agriculture commissioner | sheets 61.5% | R+23.1 | 57,633 |
- the map: each precinct, county or district by its forecast margin, the leader deeper by points (0 to 4, 4 to 8, 8 to 16, 16 to 32, 32 and up). ruled: no race there in 2026.
- votes are projected in fractions of a vote and rounded where they are printed.
- a projection of Texas alone, built october 12, 2026. how it is made is on the methodology sheet.
- data · theoelections projection, 2026