forecasts · by race · state house
state house district 89, 2026
safe R · republican 95% to win · R+10.4
| party | vote, of the two | votes | chance | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| democrat | 44.8% | 38,976 | 5% | |
| republican | 55.2% | 48,030 | 95% |
the 2026 forecast for Texas House District 89, on the lines in force for 2026. the forecast is of the generic ballot, a democrat against a republican, on the district’s own precincts; it is not a poll of the candidates. open the forecast map.
the statewide races in HD 89
| race | forecast | lead | votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. senator | talarico 49.9% | D+2.6 | 91,627 | |
| governor | abbott 51.8% | R+5.6 | 91,626 | |
| railroad commissioner | french 52.0% | R+4.0 | 89,371 | |
| lieutenant governor | patrick 51.9% | R+3.8 | 89,371 | |
| attorney general | middleton 52.7% | R+5.4 | 89,371 | |
| comptroller | huffines 54.1% | R+8.3 | 89,371 | |
| land commissioner | buckingham 54.3% | R+8.6 | 89,371 | |
| agriculture commissioner | sheets 54.4% | R+8.8 | 89,371 |
- the map: each precinct, county or district by its forecast margin, the leader deeper by points (0 to 4, 4 to 8, 8 to 16, 16 to 32, 32 and up). ruled: no race there in 2026.
- votes are projected in fractions of a vote and rounded where they are printed.
- a projection of Texas alone, built october 12, 2026. how it is made is on the methodology sheet.
- data · theoelections projection, 2026