forecasts · by race · state senate
state senate district 28, 2026
safe R · republican >99% to win · R+42.3
| party | vote, of the two | votes | chance | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| democrat | 28.8% | 96,560 | <1% | |
| republican | 71.2% | 238,309 | >99% |
the 2026 forecast for Texas Senate District 28, on the lines in force for 2026. the forecast is of the generic ballot, a democrat against a republican, on the district’s own precincts; it is not a poll of the candidates. open the forecast map.
the statewide races in SD 28
| race | forecast | lead | votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. senator | paxton 67.7% | R+38.1 | 336,156 | |
| governor | abbott 71.3% | R+44.5 | 336,153 | |
| railroad commissioner | french 72.5% | R+45.0 | 328,337 | |
| lieutenant governor | patrick 72.6% | R+45.3 | 328,336 | |
| attorney general | middleton 73.0% | R+46.0 | 328,336 | |
| comptroller | huffines 74.2% | R+48.4 | 328,335 | |
| land commissioner | buckingham 73.9% | R+47.9 | 328,336 | |
| agriculture commissioner | sheets 74.0% | R+48.1 | 328,336 |
- the map: each precinct, county or district by its forecast margin, the leader deeper by points (0 to 4, 4 to 8, 8 to 16, 16 to 32, 32 and up). ruled: no race there in 2026.
- votes are projected in fractions of a vote and rounded where they are printed.
- a projection of Texas alone, built october 12, 2026. how it is made is on the methodology sheet.
- data · theoelections projection, 2026