forecasts · by race · U.S. house
congressional district 24, 2026
lean R · republican 73% to win · R+3.8
| party | vote, of the two | votes | chance | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| democrat | 48.1% | 166,904 | 27% | |
| republican | 51.9% | 180,127 | 73% |
the 2026 forecast for Texas’s 24th Congressional District, on the lines in force for 2026. the forecast is of the generic ballot, a democrat against a republican, on the district’s own precincts; it is not a poll of the candidates. open the forecast map.
the statewide races in CD 24
| race | forecast | lead | votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. senator | talarico 50.4% | D+3.2 | 353,069 | |
| governor | abbott 51.7% | R+5.2 | 353,071 | |
| railroad commissioner | french 52.3% | R+4.5 | 345,564 | |
| lieutenant governor | patrick 52.0% | R+3.9 | 345,564 | |
| attorney general | middleton 52.8% | R+5.6 | 345,564 | |
| comptroller | huffines 54.4% | R+8.7 | 345,565 | |
| land commissioner | buckingham 54.8% | R+9.6 | 345,565 | |
| agriculture commissioner | sheets 54.7% | R+9.5 | 345,564 |
- the map: each precinct, county or district by its forecast margin, the leader deeper by points (0 to 4, 4 to 8, 8 to 16, 16 to 32, 32 and up). ruled: no race there in 2026.
- votes are projected in fractions of a vote and rounded where they are printed.
- a projection of Texas alone, built october 12, 2026. how it is made is on the methodology sheet.
- data · theoelections projection, 2026