forecasts · by race · U.S. house
congressional district 27, 2026
safe R · republican 94% to win · R+9.9
| party | vote, of the two | votes | chance | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| democrat | 45.0% | 137,115 | 6% | |
| republican | 55.0% | 167,323 | 94% |
the 2026 forecast for Texas’s 27th Congressional District, on the lines in force for 2026. the forecast is of the generic ballot, a democrat against a republican, on the district’s own precincts; it is not a poll of the candidates. open the forecast map.
the statewide races in CD 27
| race | forecast | lead | votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. senator | paxton 51.5% | R+5.6 | 305,714 | |
| governor | abbott 55.4% | R+12.6 | 305,714 | |
| railroad commissioner | french 56.1% | R+12.1 | 298,415 | |
| lieutenant governor | patrick 56.3% | R+12.6 | 298,415 | |
| attorney general | middleton 56.7% | R+13.3 | 298,414 | |
| comptroller | huffines 58.1% | R+16.3 | 298,414 | |
| land commissioner | buckingham 57.7% | R+15.5 | 298,413 | |
| agriculture commissioner | sheets 57.9% | R+15.8 | 298,414 |
- the map: each precinct, county or district by its forecast margin, the leader deeper by points (0 to 4, 4 to 8, 8 to 16, 16 to 32, 32 and up). ruled: no race there in 2026.
- votes are projected in fractions of a vote and rounded where they are printed.
- a projection of Texas alone, built october 12, 2026. how it is made is on the methodology sheet.
- data · theoelections projection, 2026