forecasts · by race · U.S. house
congressional district 28, 2026
safe D · democrat 98% to win · D+13.7
| party | vote, of the two | votes | chance | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| democrat | 56.9% | 105,695 | 98% | |
| republican | 43.1% | 80,162 | 2% |
the 2026 forecast for Texas’s 28th Congressional District, on the lines in force for 2026. the forecast is of the generic ballot, a democrat against a republican, on the district’s own precincts; it is not a poll of the candidates. open the forecast map.
the statewide races in CD 28
| race | forecast | lead | votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. senator | talarico 55.6% | D+14.2 | 179,726 | |
| governor | hinojosa 51.8% | D+5.7 | 179,727 | |
| railroad commissioner | rosenthal 53.6% | D+7.2 | 175,042 | |
| lieutenant governor | goodwin 51.5% | D+3.1 | 175,042 | |
| attorney general | johnson 51.6% | D+3.3 | 175,040 | |
| comptroller | eckhardt 50.5% | D+1.1 | 175,041 | |
| land commissioner | flores 53.3% | D+6.6 | 175,041 | |
| agriculture commissioner | tucker 52.7% | D+5.4 | 175,041 |
- the map: each precinct, county or district by its forecast margin, the leader deeper by points (0 to 4, 4 to 8, 8 to 16, 16 to 32, 32 and up). ruled: no race there in 2026.
- votes are projected in fractions of a vote and rounded where they are printed.
- a projection of Texas alone, built october 12, 2026. how it is made is on the methodology sheet.
- data · theoelections projection, 2026