forecasts · by race · U.S. house
congressional district 36, 2026
safe R · republican >99% to win · R+17.1
| party | vote, of the two | votes | chance | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| democrat | 41.5% | 120,216 | <1% | |
| republican | 58.5% | 169,696 | >99% |
the 2026 forecast for Texas’s 36th Congressional District, on the lines in force for 2026. the forecast is of the generic ballot, a democrat against a republican, on the district’s own precincts; it is not a poll of the candidates. open the forecast map.
the statewide races in CD 36
| race | forecast | lead | votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. senator | paxton 54.6% | R+11.8 | 291,761 | |
| governor | abbott 58.1% | R+18.1 | 291,760 | |
| railroad commissioner | french 58.3% | R+16.6 | 285,330 | |
| lieutenant governor | patrick 58.5% | R+17.0 | 285,330 | |
| attorney general | middleton 59.0% | R+18.0 | 285,330 | |
| comptroller | huffines 60.0% | R+20.0 | 285,329 | |
| land commissioner | buckingham 59.7% | R+19.4 | 285,329 | |
| agriculture commissioner | sheets 59.9% | R+19.8 | 285,329 |
- the map: each precinct, county or district by its forecast margin, the leader deeper by points (0 to 4, 4 to 8, 8 to 16, 16 to 32, 32 and up). ruled: no race there in 2026.
- votes are projected in fractions of a vote and rounded where they are printed.
- a projection of Texas alone, built october 12, 2026. how it is made is on the methodology sheet.
- data · theoelections projection, 2026