forecasts · by race · U.S. house
congressional district 35, 2026
likely D · democrat 77% to win · D+4.7
| party | vote, of the two | votes | chance | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| democrat | 52.4% | 147,703 | 77% | |
| republican | 47.6% | 134,368 | 23% |
the 2026 forecast for Texas’s 35th Congressional District, on the lines in force for 2026. the forecast is of the generic ballot, a democrat against a republican, on the district’s own precincts; it is not a poll of the candidates. open the forecast map.
the statewide races in CD 35
| race | forecast | lead | votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. senator | talarico 52.8% | D+8.4 | 279,750 | |
| governor | hinojosa 49.4% | D+0.8 | 279,749 | |
| railroad commissioner | rosenthal 51.0% | D+2.0 | 272,691 | |
| lieutenant governor | goodwin 50.3% | D+0.5 | 272,692 | |
| attorney general | middleton 50.0% | R+0.1 | 272,692 | |
| comptroller | huffines 51.4% | R+2.8 | 272,692 | |
| land commissioner | buckingham 50.4% | R+0.8 | 272,692 | |
| agriculture commissioner | sheets 50.7% | R+1.3 | 272,693 |
- the map: each precinct, county or district by its forecast margin, the leader deeper by points (0 to 4, 4 to 8, 8 to 16, 16 to 32, 32 and up). ruled: no race there in 2026.
- votes are projected in fractions of a vote and rounded where they are printed.
- a projection of Texas alone, built october 12, 2026. how it is made is on the methodology sheet.
- data · theoelections projection, 2026