forecasts · by race · U.S. house
congressional district 7, 2026
safe D · democrat >99% to win · D+37.5
| party | vote, of the two | votes | chance | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| democrat | 68.7% | 157,687 | >99% | |
| republican | 31.3% | 71,729 | <1% |
the 2026 forecast for Texas’s 7th Congressional District, on the lines in force for 2026. the forecast is of the generic ballot, a democrat against a republican, on the district’s own precincts; it is not a poll of the candidates. open the forecast map.
the statewide races in CD 7
| race | forecast | lead | votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. senator | talarico 69.4% | D+41.9 | 233,898 | |
| governor | hinojosa 66.5% | D+35.2 | 233,898 | |
| railroad commissioner | rosenthal 69.0% | D+38.0 | 227,438 | |
| lieutenant governor | goodwin 68.9% | D+37.8 | 227,437 | |
| attorney general | johnson 68.0% | D+35.9 | 227,438 | |
| comptroller | eckhardt 67.3% | D+34.6 | 227,437 | |
| land commissioner | flores 67.3% | D+34.5 | 227,438 | |
| agriculture commissioner | tucker 67.2% | D+34.3 | 227,438 |
- the map: each precinct, county or district by its forecast margin, the leader deeper by points (0 to 4, 4 to 8, 8 to 16, 16 to 32, 32 and up). ruled: no race there in 2026.
- votes are projected in fractions of a vote and rounded where they are printed.
- a projection of Texas alone, built october 12, 2026. how it is made is on the methodology sheet.
- data · theoelections projection, 2026