forecasts · by race · U.S. house
congressional district 8, 2026
safe R · republican >99% to win · R+19.2
| party | vote, of the two | votes | chance | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| democrat | 40.4% | 115,881 | <1% | |
| republican | 59.6% | 171,052 | >99% |
the 2026 forecast for Texas’s 8th Congressional District, on the lines in force for 2026. the forecast is of the generic ballot, a democrat against a republican, on the district’s own precincts; it is not a poll of the candidates. open the forecast map.
the statewide races in CD 8
| race | forecast | lead | votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. senator | paxton 55.5% | R+13.5 | 289,123 | |
| governor | abbott 59.1% | R+20.0 | 289,124 | |
| railroad commissioner | french 59.4% | R+18.8 | 282,488 | |
| lieutenant governor | patrick 59.6% | R+19.2 | 282,488 | |
| attorney general | middleton 60.1% | R+20.1 | 282,487 | |
| comptroller | huffines 61.1% | R+22.3 | 282,487 | |
| land commissioner | buckingham 60.8% | R+21.6 | 282,487 | |
| agriculture commissioner | sheets 61.0% | R+22.0 | 282,488 |
- the map: each precinct, county or district by its forecast margin, the leader deeper by points (0 to 4, 4 to 8, 8 to 16, 16 to 32, 32 and up). ruled: no race there in 2026.
- votes are projected in fractions of a vote and rounded where they are printed.
- a projection of Texas alone, built october 12, 2026. how it is made is on the methodology sheet.
- data · theoelections projection, 2026