forecasts · by race · state house
state house district 103, 2026
safe D · democrat >99% to win · D+47.8
| party | vote, of the two | votes | chance | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| democrat | 73.9% | 35,874 | >99% | |
| republican | 26.1% | 12,686 | <1% |
the 2026 forecast for Texas House District 103, on the lines in force for 2026. the forecast is of the generic ballot, a democrat against a republican, on the district’s own precincts; it is not a poll of the candidates. open the forecast map.
the statewide races in HD 103
| race | forecast | lead | votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. senator | talarico 74.6% | D+52.0 | 48,809 | |
| governor | hinojosa 72.1% | D+46.2 | 48,810 | |
| railroad commissioner | rosenthal 74.3% | D+48.5 | 47,613 | |
| lieutenant governor | goodwin 73.9% | D+47.9 | 47,613 | |
| attorney general | johnson 73.4% | D+46.8 | 47,614 | |
| comptroller | eckhardt 72.5% | D+44.9 | 47,613 | |
| land commissioner | flores 72.8% | D+45.6 | 47,614 | |
| agriculture commissioner | tucker 72.7% | D+45.3 | 47,614 |
- the map: each precinct, county or district by its forecast margin, the leader deeper by points (0 to 4, 4 to 8, 8 to 16, 16 to 32, 32 and up). ruled: no race there in 2026.
- votes are projected in fractions of a vote and rounded where they are printed.
- a projection of Texas alone, built october 12, 2026. how it is made is on the methodology sheet.
- data · theoelections projection, 2026