forecasts · by race · state house
state house district 104, 2026
safe D · unopposed, no republican is running
the 2026 forecast for Texas House District 104, on the lines in force for 2026. the seat is unopposed, no republican is running, so it is the democrat’s. open the forecast map.
the statewide races in HD 104
| race | forecast | lead | votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. senator | talarico 70.3% | D+44.2 | 41,042 | |
| governor | hinojosa 67.7% | D+38.0 | 41,043 | |
| railroad commissioner | rosenthal 70.5% | D+40.9 | 39,762 | |
| lieutenant governor | goodwin 69.6% | D+39.1 | 39,762 | |
| attorney general | johnson 69.4% | D+38.7 | 39,763 | |
| comptroller | eckhardt 68.3% | D+36.6 | 39,762 | |
| land commissioner | flores 69.5% | D+39.0 | 39,762 | |
| agriculture commissioner | tucker 69.2% | D+38.4 | 39,763 |
- the map: each precinct, county or district by its forecast margin, the leader deeper by points (0 to 4, 4 to 8, 8 to 16, 16 to 32, 32 and up). ruled: no race there in 2026.
- votes are projected in fractions of a vote and rounded where they are printed.
- a projection of Texas alone, built october 12, 2026. how it is made is on the methodology sheet.
- data · theoelections projection, 2026