forecasts · by race · state house
state house district 115, 2026
safe D · democrat >99% to win · D+22.6
| party | vote, of the two | votes | chance | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| democrat | 61.3% | 39,531 | >99% | |
| republican | 38.7% | 24,968 | <1% |
the 2026 forecast for Texas House District 115, on the lines in force for 2026. the forecast is of the generic ballot, a democrat against a republican, on the district’s own precincts; it is not a poll of the candidates. open the forecast map.
the statewide races in HD 115
| race | forecast | lead | votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. senator | talarico 65.3% | D+33.4 | 66,581 | |
| governor | hinojosa 61.8% | D+25.7 | 66,581 | |
| railroad commissioner | rosenthal 64.3% | D+28.5 | 64,892 | |
| lieutenant governor | goodwin 64.3% | D+28.7 | 64,892 | |
| attorney general | johnson 63.2% | D+26.3 | 64,892 | |
| comptroller | eckhardt 62.5% | D+25.1 | 64,892 | |
| land commissioner | flores 62.2% | D+24.4 | 64,892 | |
| agriculture commissioner | tucker 62.2% | D+24.3 | 64,891 |
- the map: each precinct, county or district by its forecast margin, the leader deeper by points (0 to 4, 4 to 8, 8 to 16, 16 to 32, 32 and up). ruled: no race there in 2026.
- votes are projected in fractions of a vote and rounded where they are printed.
- a projection of Texas alone, built october 12, 2026. how it is made is on the methodology sheet.
- data · theoelections projection, 2026