forecasts · by race · state house
state house district 116, 2026
safe D · democrat >99% to win · D+48.4
| party | vote, of the two | votes | chance | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| democrat | 74.2% | 40,234 | >99% | |
| republican | 25.8% | 14,001 | <1% |
the 2026 forecast for Texas House District 116, on the lines in force for 2026. the forecast is of the generic ballot, a democrat against a republican, on the district’s own precincts; it is not a poll of the candidates. open the forecast map.
the statewide races in HD 116
| race | forecast | lead | votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. senator | talarico 72.0% | D+47.0 | 57,181 | |
| governor | hinojosa 69.0% | D+40.1 | 57,180 | |
| railroad commissioner | rosenthal 71.1% | D+42.2 | 55,719 | |
| lieutenant governor | goodwin 70.2% | D+40.4 | 55,719 | |
| attorney general | johnson 69.8% | D+39.7 | 55,719 | |
| comptroller | eckhardt 68.8% | D+37.6 | 55,719 | |
| land commissioner | flores 70.0% | D+40.0 | 55,719 | |
| agriculture commissioner | tucker 69.7% | D+39.4 | 55,719 |
- the map: each precinct, county or district by its forecast margin, the leader deeper by points (0 to 4, 4 to 8, 8 to 16, 16 to 32, 32 and up). ruled: no race there in 2026.
- votes are projected in fractions of a vote and rounded where they are printed.
- a projection of Texas alone, built october 12, 2026. how it is made is on the methodology sheet.
- data · theoelections projection, 2026