forecasts · by race · state house
state house district 121, 2026
safe D · democrat 95% to win · D+10.5
| party | vote, of the two | votes | chance | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| democrat | 55.3% | 50,907 | 95% | |
| republican | 44.7% | 41,220 | 5% |
the 2026 forecast for Texas House District 121, on the lines in force for 2026. the forecast is of the generic ballot, a democrat against a republican, on the district’s own precincts; it is not a poll of the candidates. open the forecast map.
the statewide races in HD 121
| race | forecast | lead | votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. senator | talarico 56.2% | D+14.6 | 95,092 | |
| governor | hinojosa 52.3% | D+6.1 | 95,092 | |
| railroad commissioner | rosenthal 53.4% | D+6.8 | 93,282 | |
| lieutenant governor | goodwin 53.2% | D+6.5 | 93,283 | |
| attorney general | johnson 52.6% | D+5.2 | 93,282 | |
| comptroller | eckhardt 51.0% | D+2.0 | 93,282 | |
| land commissioner | flores 51.2% | D+2.5 | 93,282 | |
| agriculture commissioner | tucker 51.2% | D+2.3 | 93,282 |
- the map: each precinct, county or district by its forecast margin, the leader deeper by points (0 to 4, 4 to 8, 8 to 16, 16 to 32, 32 and up). ruled: no race there in 2026.
- votes are projected in fractions of a vote and rounded where they are printed.
- a projection of Texas alone, built october 12, 2026. how it is made is on the methodology sheet.
- data · theoelections projection, 2026