forecasts · by race · state house
state house district 122, 2026
tossup · republican 57% to win · R+1.1
| party | vote, of the two | votes | chance | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| democrat | 49.5% | 51,692 | 43% | |
| republican | 50.5% | 52,812 | 57% |
the 2026 forecast for Texas House District 122, on the lines in force for 2026. the forecast is of the generic ballot, a democrat against a republican, on the district’s own precincts; it is not a poll of the candidates. open the forecast map.
the statewide races in HD 122
| race | forecast | lead | votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. senator | talarico 52.9% | D+7.9 | 109,330 | |
| governor | abbott 49.6% | R+0.6 | 109,331 | |
| railroad commissioner | french 50.0% | R+0.1 | 107,321 | |
| lieutenant governor | patrick 50.3% | R+0.6 | 107,320 | |
| attorney general | middleton 50.9% | R+1.7 | 107,320 | |
| comptroller | huffines 52.4% | R+4.8 | 107,321 | |
| land commissioner | buckingham 52.1% | R+4.1 | 107,321 | |
| agriculture commissioner | sheets 52.2% | R+4.3 | 107,321 |
- the map: each precinct, county or district by its forecast margin, the leader deeper by points (0 to 4, 4 to 8, 8 to 16, 16 to 32, 32 and up). ruled: no race there in 2026.
- votes are projected in fractions of a vote and rounded where they are printed.
- a projection of Texas alone, built october 12, 2026. how it is made is on the methodology sheet.
- data · theoelections projection, 2026