forecasts · by race · state house
state house district 124, 2026
safe D · democrat >99% to win · D+41.4
| party | vote, of the two | votes | chance | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| democrat | 70.7% | 32,729 | >99% | |
| republican | 29.3% | 13,555 | <1% |
the 2026 forecast for Texas House District 124, on the lines in force for 2026. the forecast is of the generic ballot, a democrat against a republican, on the district’s own precincts; it is not a poll of the candidates. open the forecast map.
the statewide races in HD 124
| race | forecast | lead | votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. senator | talarico 69.6% | D+42.3 | 48,587 | |
| governor | hinojosa 66.5% | D+35.1 | 48,587 | |
| railroad commissioner | rosenthal 68.9% | D+37.9 | 47,273 | |
| lieutenant governor | goodwin 67.6% | D+35.1 | 47,272 | |
| attorney general | johnson 67.4% | D+34.9 | 47,273 | |
| comptroller | eckhardt 66.3% | D+32.6 | 47,273 | |
| land commissioner | flores 68.2% | D+36.3 | 47,272 | |
| agriculture commissioner | tucker 67.7% | D+35.4 | 47,273 |
- the map: each precinct, county or district by its forecast margin, the leader deeper by points (0 to 4, 4 to 8, 8 to 16, 16 to 32, 32 and up). ruled: no race there in 2026.
- votes are projected in fractions of a vote and rounded where they are printed.
- a projection of Texas alone, built october 12, 2026. how it is made is on the methodology sheet.
- data · theoelections projection, 2026