forecasts · by race · state house
state house district 125, 2026
safe D · democrat >99% to win · D+33.6
| party | vote, of the two | votes | chance | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| democrat | 66.8% | 49,155 | >99% | |
| republican | 33.2% | 24,415 | <1% |
the 2026 forecast for Texas House District 125, on the lines in force for 2026. the forecast is of the generic ballot, a democrat against a republican, on the district’s own precincts; it is not a poll of the candidates. open the forecast map.
the statewide races in HD 125
| race | forecast | lead | votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. senator | talarico 66.3% | D+35.4 | 72,913 | |
| governor | hinojosa 62.8% | D+27.7 | 72,912 | |
| railroad commissioner | rosenthal 64.8% | D+29.7 | 71,080 | |
| lieutenant governor | goodwin 63.8% | D+27.5 | 71,080 | |
| attorney general | johnson 63.5% | D+27.0 | 71,080 | |
| comptroller | eckhardt 62.2% | D+24.4 | 71,080 | |
| land commissioner | flores 63.6% | D+27.3 | 71,080 | |
| agriculture commissioner | tucker 63.3% | D+26.6 | 71,080 |
- the map: each precinct, county or district by its forecast margin, the leader deeper by points (0 to 4, 4 to 8, 8 to 16, 16 to 32, 32 and up). ruled: no race there in 2026.
- votes are projected in fractions of a vote and rounded where they are printed.
- a projection of Texas alone, built october 12, 2026. how it is made is on the methodology sheet.
- data · theoelections projection, 2026