forecasts · by race · state house
state house district 131, 2026
safe D · democrat >99% to win · D+56.8
| party | vote, of the two | votes | chance | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| democrat | 78.4% | 32,885 | >99% | |
| republican | 21.6% | 9,049 | <1% |
the 2026 forecast for Texas House District 131, on the lines in force for 2026. the forecast is of the generic ballot, a democrat against a republican, on the district’s own precincts; it is not a poll of the candidates. open the forecast map.
the statewide races in HD 131
| race | forecast | lead | votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. senator | talarico 78.7% | D+60.4 | 42,021 | |
| governor | hinojosa 77.1% | D+56.3 | 42,020 | |
| railroad commissioner | rosenthal 80.0% | D+59.9 | 40,901 | |
| lieutenant governor | goodwin 79.2% | D+58.4 | 40,900 | |
| attorney general | johnson 79.0% | D+57.9 | 40,900 | |
| comptroller | eckhardt 78.6% | D+57.2 | 40,900 | |
| land commissioner | flores 79.6% | D+59.2 | 40,900 | |
| agriculture commissioner | tucker 79.3% | D+58.5 | 40,900 |
- the map: each precinct, county or district by its forecast margin, the leader deeper by points (0 to 4, 4 to 8, 8 to 16, 16 to 32, 32 and up). ruled: no race there in 2026.
- votes are projected in fractions of a vote and rounded where they are printed.
- a projection of Texas alone, built october 12, 2026. how it is made is on the methodology sheet.
- data · theoelections projection, 2026