forecasts · by race · state house
state house district 130, 2026
safe R · republican >99% to win · R+27.6
| party | vote, of the two | votes | chance | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| democrat | 36.2% | 31,497 | <1% | |
| republican | 63.8% | 55,467 | >99% |
the 2026 forecast for Texas House District 130, on the lines in force for 2026. the forecast is of the generic ballot, a democrat against a republican, on the district’s own precincts; it is not a poll of the candidates. open the forecast map.
the statewide races in HD 130
| race | forecast | lead | votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. senator | paxton 56.6% | R+16.0 | 89,143 | |
| governor | abbott 60.9% | R+23.9 | 89,143 | |
| railroad commissioner | french 61.5% | R+22.9 | 86,872 | |
| lieutenant governor | patrick 61.5% | R+23.0 | 86,872 | |
| attorney general | middleton 62.1% | R+24.3 | 86,872 | |
| comptroller | huffines 63.5% | R+26.9 | 86,872 | |
| land commissioner | buckingham 63.4% | R+26.8 | 86,872 | |
| agriculture commissioner | sheets 63.5% | R+27.0 | 86,872 |
- the map: each precinct, county or district by its forecast margin, the leader deeper by points (0 to 4, 4 to 8, 8 to 16, 16 to 32, 32 and up). ruled: no race there in 2026.
- votes are projected in fractions of a vote and rounded where they are printed.
- a projection of Texas alone, built october 12, 2026. how it is made is on the methodology sheet.
- data · theoelections projection, 2026