forecasts · by race · state house
state house district 129, 2026
likely R · republican 89% to win · R+7.6
| party | vote, of the two | votes | chance | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| democrat | 46.2% | 37,501 | 11% | |
| republican | 53.8% | 43,702 | 89% |
the 2026 forecast for Texas House District 129, on the lines in force for 2026. the forecast is of the generic ballot, a democrat against a republican, on the district’s own precincts; it is not a poll of the candidates. open the forecast map.
the statewide races in HD 129
| race | forecast | lead | votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. senator | talarico 49.4% | D+1.8 | 83,288 | |
| governor | abbott 52.2% | R+6.6 | 83,289 | |
| railroad commissioner | french 52.8% | R+5.5 | 81,040 | |
| lieutenant governor | patrick 52.9% | R+5.7 | 81,040 | |
| attorney general | middleton 53.6% | R+7.3 | 81,040 | |
| comptroller | huffines 54.9% | R+9.8 | 81,040 | |
| land commissioner | buckingham 54.8% | R+9.7 | 81,040 | |
| agriculture commissioner | sheets 54.9% | R+9.8 | 81,040 |
- the map: each precinct, county or district by its forecast margin, the leader deeper by points (0 to 4, 4 to 8, 8 to 16, 16 to 32, 32 and up). ruled: no race there in 2026.
- votes are projected in fractions of a vote and rounded where they are printed.
- a projection of Texas alone, built october 12, 2026. how it is made is on the methodology sheet.
- data · theoelections projection, 2026