forecasts · by race · state house
state house district 128, 2026
safe R · republican >99% to win · R+30.0
| party | vote, of the two | votes | chance | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| democrat | 35.0% | 21,439 | <1% | |
| republican | 65.0% | 39,780 | >99% |
the 2026 forecast for Texas House District 128, on the lines in force for 2026. the forecast is of the generic ballot, a democrat against a republican, on the district’s own precincts; it is not a poll of the candidates. open the forecast map.
the statewide races in HD 128
| race | forecast | lead | votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. senator | paxton 59.0% | R+20.9 | 64,400 | |
| governor | abbott 63.0% | R+28.0 | 64,400 | |
| railroad commissioner | french 63.9% | R+27.8 | 62,766 | |
| lieutenant governor | patrick 64.3% | R+28.5 | 62,766 | |
| attorney general | middleton 64.6% | R+29.2 | 62,765 | |
| comptroller | huffines 65.8% | R+31.7 | 62,765 | |
| land commissioner | buckingham 65.3% | R+30.6 | 62,765 | |
| agriculture commissioner | sheets 65.5% | R+30.9 | 62,765 |
- the map: each precinct, county or district by its forecast margin, the leader deeper by points (0 to 4, 4 to 8, 8 to 16, 16 to 32, 32 and up). ruled: no race there in 2026.
- votes are projected in fractions of a vote and rounded where they are printed.
- a projection of Texas alone, built october 12, 2026. how it is made is on the methodology sheet.
- data · theoelections projection, 2026