forecasts · by race · state house
state house district 127, 2026
safe R · republican 97% to win · R+12.4
| party | vote, of the two | votes | chance | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| democrat | 43.8% | 37,582 | 3% | |
| republican | 56.2% | 48,241 | 97% |
the 2026 forecast for Texas House District 127, on the lines in force for 2026. the forecast is of the generic ballot, a democrat against a republican, on the district’s own precincts; it is not a poll of the candidates. open the forecast map.
the statewide races in HD 127
| race | forecast | lead | votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. senator | paxton 48.6% | even | 88,156 | |
| governor | abbott 52.7% | R+7.3 | 88,157 | |
| railroad commissioner | french 52.9% | R+5.7 | 86,040 | |
| lieutenant governor | patrick 53.1% | R+6.1 | 86,040 | |
| attorney general | middleton 53.5% | R+7.0 | 86,040 | |
| comptroller | huffines 54.9% | R+9.8 | 86,040 | |
| land commissioner | buckingham 54.6% | R+9.2 | 86,040 | |
| agriculture commissioner | sheets 54.8% | R+9.5 | 86,040 |
- the map: each precinct, county or district by its forecast margin, the leader deeper by points (0 to 4, 4 to 8, 8 to 16, 16 to 32, 32 and up). ruled: no race there in 2026.
- votes are projected in fractions of a vote and rounded where they are printed.
- a projection of Texas alone, built october 12, 2026. how it is made is on the methodology sheet.
- data · theoelections projection, 2026