forecasts · by race · state house
state house district 26, 2026
likely R · republican 80% to win · R+5.3
| party | vote, of the two | votes | chance | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| democrat | 47.3% | 36,269 | 20% | |
| republican | 52.7% | 40,349 | 80% |
the 2026 forecast for Texas House District 26, on the lines in force for 2026. the forecast is of the generic ballot, a democrat against a republican, on the district’s own precincts; it is not a poll of the candidates. open the forecast map.
the statewide races in HD 26
| race | forecast | lead | votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. senator | talarico 50.5% | D+3.9 | 79,239 | |
| governor | abbott 51.3% | R+4.6 | 79,238 | |
| railroad commissioner | french 51.2% | R+2.3 | 77,231 | |
| lieutenant governor | patrick 51.2% | R+2.4 | 77,231 | |
| attorney general | middleton 52.2% | R+4.4 | 77,231 | |
| comptroller | huffines 53.2% | R+6.3 | 77,231 | |
| land commissioner | buckingham 53.2% | R+6.4 | 77,231 | |
| agriculture commissioner | sheets 53.3% | R+6.7 | 77,232 |
- the map: each precinct, county or district by its forecast margin, the leader deeper by points (0 to 4, 4 to 8, 8 to 16, 16 to 32, 32 and up). ruled: no race there in 2026.
- votes are projected in fractions of a vote and rounded where they are printed.
- a projection of Texas alone, built october 12, 2026. how it is made is on the methodology sheet.
- data · theoelections projection, 2026