forecasts · by race · state house
state house district 27, 2026
safe D · democrat >99% to win · D+47.5
| party | vote, of the two | votes | chance | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| democrat | 73.8% | 55,749 | >99% | |
| republican | 26.3% | 19,840 | <1% |
the 2026 forecast for Texas House District 27, on the lines in force for 2026. the forecast is of the generic ballot, a democrat against a republican, on the district’s own precincts; it is not a poll of the candidates. open the forecast map.
the statewide races in HD 27
| race | forecast | lead | votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. senator | talarico 72.9% | D+48.1 | 79,158 | |
| governor | hinojosa 70.5% | D+42.6 | 79,158 | |
| railroad commissioner | rosenthal 73.4% | D+46.8 | 77,499 | |
| lieutenant governor | goodwin 73.1% | D+46.1 | 77,499 | |
| attorney general | johnson 72.5% | D+44.9 | 77,499 | |
| comptroller | eckhardt 72.0% | D+44.0 | 77,498 | |
| land commissioner | flores 72.4% | D+44.8 | 77,499 | |
| agriculture commissioner | tucker 72.1% | D+44.2 | 77,499 |
- the map: each precinct, county or district by its forecast margin, the leader deeper by points (0 to 4, 4 to 8, 8 to 16, 16 to 32, 32 and up). ruled: no race there in 2026.
- votes are projected in fractions of a vote and rounded where they are printed.
- a projection of Texas alone, built october 12, 2026. how it is made is on the methodology sheet.
- data · theoelections projection, 2026