forecasts · by race · state house
state house district 28, 2026
safe R · republican 92% to win · R+8.8
| party | vote, of the two | votes | chance | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| democrat | 45.6% | 40,069 | 8% | |
| republican | 54.4% | 47,792 | 92% |
the 2026 forecast for Texas House District 28, on the lines in force for 2026. the forecast is of the generic ballot, a democrat against a republican, on the district’s own precincts; it is not a poll of the candidates. open the forecast map.
the statewide races in HD 28
| race | forecast | lead | votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. senator | talarico 49.3% | D+1.4 | 91,630 | |
| governor | abbott 52.2% | R+6.4 | 91,631 | |
| railroad commissioner | french 52.3% | R+4.6 | 89,364 | |
| lieutenant governor | patrick 52.4% | R+4.9 | 89,364 | |
| attorney general | middleton 53.3% | R+6.6 | 89,363 | |
| comptroller | huffines 54.2% | R+8.3 | 89,364 | |
| land commissioner | buckingham 54.1% | R+8.2 | 89,364 | |
| agriculture commissioner | sheets 54.2% | R+8.4 | 89,364 |
- the map: each precinct, county or district by its forecast margin, the leader deeper by points (0 to 4, 4 to 8, 8 to 16, 16 to 32, 32 and up). ruled: no race there in 2026.
- votes are projected in fractions of a vote and rounded where they are printed.
- a projection of Texas alone, built october 12, 2026. how it is made is on the methodology sheet.
- data · theoelections projection, 2026