forecasts · by race · state house
state house district 33, 2026
safe R · republican >99% to win · R+21.3
| party | vote, of the two | votes | chance | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| democrat | 39.4% | 35,806 | <1% | |
| republican | 60.6% | 55,180 | >99% |
the 2026 forecast for Texas House District 33, on the lines in force for 2026. the forecast is of the generic ballot, a democrat against a republican, on the district’s own precincts; it is not a poll of the candidates. open the forecast map.
the statewide races in HD 33
| race | forecast | lead | votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. senator | paxton 52.8% | R+8.1 | 93,074 | |
| governor | abbott 56.9% | R+15.6 | 93,074 | |
| railroad commissioner | french 57.2% | R+14.4 | 91,037 | |
| lieutenant governor | patrick 57.1% | R+14.2 | 91,037 | |
| attorney general | middleton 57.8% | R+15.5 | 91,037 | |
| comptroller | huffines 59.1% | R+18.3 | 91,037 | |
| land commissioner | buckingham 59.3% | R+18.5 | 91,037 | |
| agriculture commissioner | sheets 59.3% | R+18.7 | 91,038 |
- the map: each precinct, county or district by its forecast margin, the leader deeper by points (0 to 4, 4 to 8, 8 to 16, 16 to 32, 32 and up). ruled: no race there in 2026.
- votes are projected in fractions of a vote and rounded where they are printed.
- a projection of Texas alone, built october 12, 2026. how it is made is on the methodology sheet.
- data · theoelections projection, 2026