forecasts · by race · state house
state house district 34, 2026
safe D · democrat 90% to win · D+8.2
| party | vote, of the two | votes | chance | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| democrat | 54.1% | 26,354 | 90% | |
| republican | 45.9% | 22,364 | 10% |
the 2026 forecast for Texas House District 34, on the lines in force for 2026. the forecast is of the generic ballot, a democrat against a republican, on the district’s own precincts; it is not a poll of the candidates. open the forecast map.
the statewide races in HD 34
| race | forecast | lead | votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. senator | talarico 57.4% | D+17.6 | 49,905 | |
| governor | hinojosa 54.0% | D+10.1 | 49,905 | |
| railroad commissioner | rosenthal 55.8% | D+11.6 | 48,639 | |
| lieutenant governor | goodwin 54.4% | D+8.8 | 48,639 | |
| attorney general | johnson 54.4% | D+8.8 | 48,639 | |
| comptroller | eckhardt 53.1% | D+6.3 | 48,640 | |
| land commissioner | flores 55.0% | D+10.1 | 48,640 | |
| agriculture commissioner | tucker 54.6% | D+9.2 | 48,639 |
- the map: each precinct, county or district by its forecast margin, the leader deeper by points (0 to 4, 4 to 8, 8 to 16, 16 to 32, 32 and up). ruled: no race there in 2026.
- votes are projected in fractions of a vote and rounded where they are printed.
- a projection of Texas alone, built october 12, 2026. how it is made is on the methodology sheet.
- data · theoelections projection, 2026