forecasts · by race · state house
state house district 43, 2026
safe R · republican >99% to win · R+17.5
| party | vote, of the two | votes | chance | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| democrat | 41.2% | 25,689 | <1% | |
| republican | 58.8% | 36,598 | >99% |
the 2026 forecast for Texas House District 43, on the lines in force for 2026. the forecast is of the generic ballot, a democrat against a republican, on the district’s own precincts; it is not a poll of the candidates. open the forecast map.
the statewide races in HD 43
| race | forecast | lead | votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. senator | paxton 54.8% | R+12.2 | 64,158 | |
| governor | abbott 59.0% | R+19.8 | 64,158 | |
| railroad commissioner | french 59.6% | R+19.1 | 62,704 | |
| lieutenant governor | patrick 60.6% | R+21.2 | 62,704 | |
| attorney general | middleton 60.7% | R+21.5 | 62,704 | |
| comptroller | huffines 62.0% | R+23.9 | 62,705 | |
| land commissioner | buckingham 60.5% | R+21.0 | 62,705 | |
| agriculture commissioner | sheets 60.8% | R+21.7 | 62,704 |
- the map: each precinct, county or district by its forecast margin, the leader deeper by points (0 to 4, 4 to 8, 8 to 16, 16 to 32, 32 and up). ruled: no race there in 2026.
- votes are projected in fractions of a vote and rounded where they are printed.
- a projection of Texas alone, built october 12, 2026. how it is made is on the methodology sheet.
- data · theoelections projection, 2026