forecasts · by race · state house
state house district 44, 2026
safe R · republican >99% to win · R+18.3
| party | vote, of the two | votes | chance | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| democrat | 40.9% | 34,245 | <1% | |
| republican | 59.1% | 49,596 | >99% |
the 2026 forecast for Texas House District 44, on the lines in force for 2026. the forecast is of the generic ballot, a democrat against a republican, on the district’s own precincts; it is not a poll of the candidates. open the forecast map.
the statewide races in HD 44
| race | forecast | lead | votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. senator | paxton 55.7% | R+14.3 | 87,117 | |
| governor | abbott 59.9% | R+21.9 | 87,117 | |
| railroad commissioner | french 60.7% | R+21.4 | 84,926 | |
| lieutenant governor | patrick 61.0% | R+21.9 | 84,926 | |
| attorney general | middleton 61.4% | R+22.8 | 84,926 | |
| comptroller | huffines 62.8% | R+25.6 | 84,927 | |
| land commissioner | buckingham 62.4% | R+24.8 | 84,926 | |
| agriculture commissioner | sheets 62.5% | R+25.1 | 84,927 |
- the map: each precinct, county or district by its forecast margin, the leader deeper by points (0 to 4, 4 to 8, 8 to 16, 16 to 32, 32 and up). ruled: no race there in 2026.
- votes are projected in fractions of a vote and rounded where they are printed.
- a projection of Texas alone, built october 12, 2026. how it is made is on the methodology sheet.
- data · theoelections projection, 2026