forecasts · by race · state house
state house district 45, 2026
safe D · democrat >99% to win · D+27.9
| party | vote, of the two | votes | chance | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| democrat | 64.0% | 56,770 | >99% | |
| republican | 36.0% | 31,970 | <1% |
the 2026 forecast for Texas House District 45, on the lines in force for 2026. the forecast is of the generic ballot, a democrat against a republican, on the district’s own precincts; it is not a poll of the candidates. open the forecast map.
the statewide races in HD 45
| race | forecast | lead | votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. senator | talarico 64.1% | D+31.6 | 92,187 | |
| governor | hinojosa 60.9% | D+24.1 | 92,187 | |
| railroad commissioner | rosenthal 62.5% | D+24.9 | 89,427 | |
| lieutenant governor | goodwin 62.3% | D+24.5 | 89,427 | |
| attorney general | johnson 61.8% | D+23.6 | 89,427 | |
| comptroller | eckhardt 60.1% | D+20.3 | 89,427 | |
| land commissioner | flores 60.4% | D+20.7 | 89,427 | |
| agriculture commissioner | tucker 60.3% | D+20.6 | 89,427 |
- the map: each precinct, county or district by its forecast margin, the leader deeper by points (0 to 4, 4 to 8, 8 to 16, 16 to 32, 32 and up). ruled: no race there in 2026.
- votes are projected in fractions of a vote and rounded where they are printed.
- a projection of Texas alone, built october 12, 2026. how it is made is on the methodology sheet.
- data · theoelections projection, 2026