forecasts · by race · state house
state house district 6, 2026
safe R · republican >99% to win · R+39.0
| party | vote, of the two | votes | chance | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| democrat | 30.5% | 22,819 | <1% | |
| republican | 69.5% | 51,969 | >99% |
the 2026 forecast for Texas House District 6, on the lines in force for 2026. the forecast is of the generic ballot, a democrat against a republican, on the district’s own precincts; it is not a poll of the candidates. open the forecast map.
the statewide races in HD 6
| race | forecast | lead | votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. senator | paxton 64.6% | R+31.5 | 77,913 | |
| governor | abbott 67.7% | R+36.9 | 77,914 | |
| railroad commissioner | french 68.3% | R+36.6 | 76,375 | |
| lieutenant governor | patrick 68.3% | R+36.5 | 76,375 | |
| attorney general | middleton 68.6% | R+37.2 | 76,375 | |
| comptroller | huffines 69.7% | R+39.5 | 76,375 | |
| land commissioner | buckingham 69.7% | R+39.4 | 76,375 | |
| agriculture commissioner | sheets 69.8% | R+39.5 | 76,376 |
- the map: each precinct, county or district by its forecast margin, the leader deeper by points (0 to 4, 4 to 8, 8 to 16, 16 to 32, 32 and up). ruled: no race there in 2026.
- votes are projected in fractions of a vote and rounded where they are printed.
- a projection of Texas alone, built october 12, 2026. how it is made is on the methodology sheet.
- data · theoelections projection, 2026